Week 10 Walkthrough: Qué Rico
Welcome to the Week 10 Walkthrough.
In this article, I'll outline critical fantasy football context for the tenth glorious football Sunday of 2025.
(The stats below are from PFF, NFLfastR, rbsdm.com, RotoViz, FantasyLabs, Fantasy Life, Fantasy Points, ESPN, FTN, and NFL Next Gen).
PROE data is available for subscribers at the bottom of the post.
Quick Links
- Saints at Panthers, 1 PM
- Patriots at Buccaneers, 1 PM
- Giants at Bears, 1 PM
- Bills at Dolphins, 1 PM
- Ravens at Vikings, 1 PM
- Browns at Jets, 1 PM
- Jaguars at Texans, 1 PM
- Cardinals at Seahawks, 4:05 PM
- Lions at Commanders, 4:25 PM
- Rams at 49ers, 4:25 PM
Saints at Panthers, 1 PM
Saints
Implied Team Total: 17
Tyler Shough is coming off his first NFL start, and—I really do mean this as a compliment—he turned in a very Spencer Rattler-esque performance against the Rams. Shough wasn't adding a ton of value, but the wheels didn't completely come off, either.
And keep in mind, Shough was going against an elite Rams pass defense.
For the season, Shough still ranks just QB43 in EPA per game and QB40 in success rate among 46 q ualifiers. His overall numbers are hurt by his poor play at the end of the Bucs game, reminding us that Shough hasn't exactly been exciting so far. But last week was reasonably encouraging for a rookie QB in a tough first start.
This week, Shough gets a much easier matchup against a Panthers defense that has a very weak pass rush.
The Panthers won't be a pushover, though. They've been solid in coverage and are healthy in the secondary.
Meanwhile, the Saints are dealing with offensive line injuries. They are still without C Erik McCoy, and RT Taliese Fuaga suffered a high ankle sprain against the Rams and is reportedly week-to-week. The Panthers' pass rush isn't great... but Shough is still likely to face some pressure.
Meanwhile, Shough will be without Rashid Shaheed, who was profiling maybe not as a true difference-maker but definitely as a downfield playmaker.
Shaheed's absence will further concentrate targets to Chris Olave. That's great for Olave, but it might not be ideal for the offense, given that Olave was already underperforming on the target volume he was seeing.
From a fantasy perspective, it's hard not to see this as ultimately a good thing for Olave. After very strong target rates to open the season, he's cooled off a bit recently. That could continue... but only if the Saints can't consistently move the ball through the air. There aren't any other playmakers left. With the potential for Shough to show a bit more in a softer matchup and as a very strong bet for targets, Olave is a high-end WR2.
With Shaheed now in Seattle, the Saints have signaled that Brandin Cooks and Devaughn Vele are slated for bigger roles. Neither has shown much of anything this year, and serve mostly to funnel targets to Olave.
The secondary option is likely to be Juwan Johnson, who has consistently seen solid target rates but rarely done much with his looks.
Still, Johnson is a safe bet for routes and should help pick up some of the target slack, even if it's by replacing valuable downfield first-reads (that aren't open without Shaheed running the routes) with much less valuable check downs. Johnson is a high-end TE2.
On the ground, the Panthers looked like an impressive run defense for a week or two, but have settled into mediocre territory. Still, they aren't nearly as bad as they were in 2024. Meanwhile, the Saints are one of the worst rushing teams in football.
That didn't stop the Saints from pounding the rock last week, though.
Understandably, the Saints were not interested in subjecting their rookie QB to an elite pass rush and fought against negative game script.
This week, they're not 14-point underdogs like they were against the Rams—negative game script isn't assured. But as 5.5-point road dogs, they're still expected to trail. Last week was a sign that they'll try to maintain balance even in negative script.
That sets up Alvin Kamara for a solid workload. But he will be in a split with Devin Neal, who has seen healthy snap shares over the last two weeks and is posting significant route participation.
Neal remains just a thorn in Kamara's side. But given how poorly Kamara has played this year, it's a pretty painful thorn.
Kamara is a high-end RB3.
Panthers
Implied Team Total: 22.5
Last week, Bryce Young faced an imposing Packers defense, one that might look elite if it didn't have losses to Joe Flacco and Bryce Young on its resume.
Young was dealing with offensive line injuries, and yet still posted his strongest success rate of the year, with efficiency that wasn't great but definitely stronger than expected.
On the season, Young ranks QB30 of 36 in EPA per game. His 46% success rate is stronger, though, ranking QB22. This makes him a minor positive regression candidate.
And, look, I get that saying, "his efficiency could end up more in line with Michael Penix's," probably doesn't get you going. But... his efficiency could end up more in line with Michael Penix's.
This week's matchup should help. The Saints are not good against the pass, with a particularly weak pass rush.
But the Panthers are very unlikely to lean on Young here. That is just... not what they do.
Remember the Sunday when Russell Wilson and Malik Nabers went off against the Cowboys? Feels like a while ago, right? Nearly two months ago—that was the last time the Panthers posted a 60%+ pass rate.
So, sure, the Saints are pretty solid against the run. But that's not going to stop the Panthers from leaning on the ground game.
In fact, even with the Saints being better against the run than the pass, they are profiling as a run funnel. Opponents have a 54% pass rate against New Orleans, the lowest in the NFL. This is partly because they are bad and often traill; but with the Panthers as 5.5-point home favorites, they should be able to play from ahead like the typical Saints opponent.
Thankfully, the Panthers' run-heavy game plan is finally built around their best running back—a plan so crazy it just might work.
Against the Packers, Rico Dowdle didn't just lead the way; he returned to a similar role to what he had when Chuba Hubbard was out. This was workhorse usage.
Meanwhile, Hubbard was operating as a true backup.
Dowdle rested on Wednesday, and he was limited in practice on Thursday. He's fully expected to play, but maybe the Panthers opt to even things up with Hubbard a bit more this week to keep Dowdle fresh.
However, given that they just beat the Packers in Lambeau, it's hard to believe they have any regrets about feeding Dowdle... and that they very much plan on doing it again.
Dowdle has been truly excellent this year. Now installed as the clear starter, and perhaps a near-every-down back... Dowdle is a locked-in RB1.
Although dropback volume is likely to be limited, targets will at least be condensed. Tetairoa McMillan turned in solid efficiency against the Packers and dominated targets with a 33% target share. Unfortunately, with Young dropping back just 24 times, McMillan had just a 4/46/0 receiving line on six targets.
McMillan's underlying numbers are very strong. He's dominating targets, is clearly installed as the No. 1 WR, and is producing efficiently. Unfortunately, this isn't a matchup where we can expect the Panthers to drop back more than usual—if anything, volume may drop. The silver lining is that Young could be very efficient, working off of a run-heavy attack against a vulnerable pass defense. McMillan is a low-end WR2.
After McMillan, there's not a lot to get excited about in the passing game. Jalen Coker hasn't flashed much since returning from injury.
After his Week 7 spike week, Xavier Legette has been pretty quiet.
Legette earns targets deeper downfield than Coker, which is something, at least. But his underlying stats are relatively weak this year. He's just a dart throw.
At tight end, Ja'Tavion Sanders is technically the starter, but is running less than half the routes.
Tommy Tremble is seeing even fewer routes and has been even less efficient.
With Sanders delivering poor efficiency on a borderline rotational role, he's just a TE3.
Patriots at Buccaneers, 1 PM
Patriots
Implied Team Total: 23
Drake Maye is coming off his least efficient game of the season in a tough matchup with the Falcons.
Although the nice thing about Maye is that even when he hasn't played well this year, he's been more below average than out-and-out bad.
For the season, Maye remains QB2 in EPA per game. He's QB5 in success rate. He's still profiling as one of the best bets for passing efficiency in the NFL.
As expected, the Falcons blitzed Maye relentlessly last week. Maye faced a blitz on 58% of his dropbacks, just edging out Jared Goff (57%) for the highest rate of the week. Maye has faced a decent blitz rate this year, but this was nearly twice as high as he's seen on average.
The good news is that Maye was actually reasonably effective against the blitz, turning in .06 EPA per play and a 44% success rate. It's not like he was dominant against the blitz, but he didn't crumble, either. His most significant error of the game, a strip-sack fumble, came against just four rushers—although the Falcons did a great job disguising who the four actually were.
The other silver lining is that Maye had a 12.3 aDOT against the blitz last week. The Patriots weren't able to connect deep like usual. In addition to the matchup, Maye was hurt by Kayshon Boutte leaving with an injury. But the lack of deep production wasn't driven by Maye getting conservative.
Regardless, pressure remains a big issue for Maye and the Patriots' offensive line. He was sacked six times last week, and the Patriots' offensive line, which was holding up well against cupcake matchups, is starting to look like a liability now that the competition has ramped up.
The Patriots now face a Buccaneers defense that blitzes at an even higher rate than the Falcons and is even more effective when bringing heat. This is another matchup where we can expect Maye to make mistakes, especially in the sack-taking department.
However, last week's game provides some confidence that the Patriots will be up to the challenge here.
For one thing, even with Maye turning in his worst efficiency of the season, they posted a league-average 62% pass rate, 3% above expected.
And this week, it's not like the Patriots can reasonably expect to lean on the run. The Bucs have an elite run defense, and the Patriots have one of the worst run games in the league.
Maye is the Patriots' only path to victory here. And as 2.5-point road underdogs, the market sees that as a very realistic possibility. Although I do expect some negative plays to be mixed in, I'm largely encouraged by the approach that the Patriots and Maye took to a similar matchup last week.
Maye will also be going against a Buccaneers offense that will also be facing an elite run defense and that will also be leaning on its passing game with its starting RB of the lineup. We're looking at a potential shootout here, making Maye well worth the risk despite an unideal defensive matchup.
On his Discord sever, Kayshon Boutte announced that he suffered a shoulder sprain but still might be able to play against the Bucs.
However, Boutte hasn't practiced this week and looks more likely to return in Week 11.
Boutte was limited to 30% route participation against the Falcons and was replaced by Kyle Williams, who didn't record a catch despite a season-high 50% route participation.
Williams may again fill in for Boutte's role, but we're very unlikely to see Boutte-level production.
Even with limited route participation from Boutte, we still saw Mack Hollins and Demario Douglas in part-time and rotational roles, respectively. Douglas—and this kind of seems like his thing now—was insanely efficient on limited volume. But he's just not playing enough to be a managed league option. The best ball bags appreciate the spike weeks, though.
Stefon Diggs has had a quiet couple of weeks, but is running routes at a solid rate and should be a big part of the game plan with Boutte not at 100%, or out.
Diggs is also getting open at an elite rate, reinforcing his very strong 19% first-read target rate. This is a WR that the Patriots want involved and who looks capable of consistently getting open when Maye is looking for him. Despite a couple of quiet games, Diggs is a low-end WR2 here.
At tight end, Hunter Henry turned in a 4/51/0 receiving line on six targets against the Falcons, posting his most efficient game since going 2/39/1 against the Panthers.
Henry doesn't have a total lock on tight end routes, ceding some work to Austin Hooper. But Henry still has a clear lead as the No. 1 tight end, and sets up as low-end TE1 this week.
With Rhamondre Stevenson out of the lineup last week, TreVeyon Henderson dominated backfield snaps, routes, and targets. But his carry share left something to be desired.
Terrell Jennings mixed in for 11 carries to Henderson's 14 and vultured a 3-yard TD.
With a 43% success rate against the Falcons, Henderson was actually significantly more consistent than Jennings (36%). But Henderson posted -6 RYOE with Jennings at -3; neither RB showed much burst.
With back-to-back DNPs, Stevenson looks likely to miss another game. But even so, in this tough rushing matchup, Henderson is just a high-end RB3.
Buccaneers
Implied Team Total: 25.5
For much of the season, the Bucs were leaning on Baker Mayfield to overcome significant injuries on the offensive line and at WR. And through the first six weeks, he was turning in unbelievable efficiency despite difficult circumstances.
But against the Lions in Week 7 and the Saints in Week 8, Mayfield struggled.
And even after a Week 9 bye, Tampa Bay won't be at full strength on offense. The Bucs will be without Mike Evans and very likely without Chris Godwin at WR. Bucky Irving missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday and also looks likely to be out.
The offensive line is in much better shape, though. RT Luke Goedeke is nearing a return, which would remove liability Charlie Heck from the lineup. But he's unlikely to play this week. RG Luke Haggard was banged up last week but has been practicing in full and looks good to go. The rest of the line is healthy.
Mayfield will be facing a Patriots defense that looked vulnerable to begin the year but has worked its way into an average-ish unit. It's also healthy. Inside LB Christian Elliss may miss this game with a hip injury. But after being checked for a concussion against the Falcons, Christian Gonzalez is practicing in full and looks set to play. He's been a difference maker for the Patriots' secondary.
This isn't a shutdown defense by any means, but it's not a pushover either. And, against New Orleans, Mayfield showed a concerning floor with very poor efficiency and consistency.
Mayfield's consistency has been an issue all year; despite ranking QB12 in EPA per game, he ranks just QB26 with a 45% success rate, just behind Geno Smith (46%), Michael Penix (45%), and Kyler Murray (45%) and just ahead of Joe Flacco (44%), Aaron Rodgers (44%), and Tua Tagovailoa (43%). Typically, QBs with this level of consistency aren't able to sustain such strong efficiency—Mayfield is a negative regression candidate.
This would be a terrible week for Mayfield to play inefficiently—the Bucs need the passing game to click here.
Last week, the Patriots proved that their elite run defense was not a paper tiger, not a product of an easy schedule. They stacked the box on 0% of Bijan Robinson's attempts last week, and yet still held him to 46 yards on 12 carries, -20 RYOE, and just a 25% success rate. The Bucs may not be completely shut down on the ground, but it's unlikely to be the engine of their offense.
The Patriots' defense is strong enough that New England looks like a legitimate pass funnel.
In my view, it's harder for a defense to be a true pass funnel than a run funnel. Most NFL coaches are happy to pivot to the run in a favorable matchup. And, if things are going well, they get to run even more. Teams tend to be more hesitant to shift to the pass in a big way. Teams want to play their style of football, which almost always means maintaining the threat of the run to some degree.
That makes it all the more notable that only two teams—the Steelers and Panthers—have posted below-average pass rates against the Patriots, while all three of their most recent opponents have posted pass rates of 74%+.
The Bucs have been kind of all over the place from a pass rate perspective. In games against the Jets, Eagles, 49ers, and Vikings, they pounded the rock. But they've also been pass-heavy against the Texans, Seahawks, and Lions.
The Bucs have posted a sub-55% pass rate three times this year, including a 47% pass rate against the Saints, the 20th-lowest mark in the league this year. But they also posted a ridiculous 83% pass rate against the Lions, the third-highest of the year. Josh Grizzard is clearly willing to mix things up depending on the particular circumstances in a given game.
This game profiles as a back-and-forth affair, with the Bucs expected to put up points despite going against an elite run defense and without Bucky Irving. It's a setup that could create a very high pass rate on the Bucs side.
Like on the Patriots side, I expect mistakes to be made in the passing game. But I also expect a productive day from the Bucs here, even if Mayfield isn't quite as magical as he was earlier this year.
For that to happen, though, the Bucs need a big game from Emeka Egbuka.
As Mayfield's efficiency has dropped off, so has Egbuka's. He's coming off three inefficient games in a row.
At the same time, the last three games have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that with Evans and Godwin out, Egbuka is the Bucs' clear-cut No. 1 option. He may not have been delivering on the target volume, but Egbuka was being fed targets like an elite WR1 from Weeks 6-8.
Earlier in the year, Egbuka was profiling as a major negative regression candidate. And over his last three games, that regression arrived in a big way. But now... Egbuka profiles as a straight-up No. 1 WR who is consistently earning targets despite dealing with a ton of double coverage. This is a profile I think we can take roughly at face value now. And in a matchup that creates upside for passing volume and scoring from both offenses, Egbuka is a WR1.
With Godwin out again, Tez Johnson looks like a safer bet for routes than Sterling Shepard. And, given his lack of efficiency, if Shepard's routes are at all in question, he's off the radar.
On a per-route basis, Johnson hasn't been great, but he hasn't been bad either. Johnson is sort of shaping up as even-skinnier Troy Franklin. Like Franklin, Johnson is playing about half of his snaps in the slot. Like Franklin, he gets used in the screen game. And like Franklin, he's earning targets despite not being a huge factor on the playsheet. He's also more of a deep threat than you'd assume at a playing weight of 142 pounds, apparently.
This is a boom/bust matchup for the passing game, but if you're considering Tez Johnson in any type of fantasy, hopefully you already understand the inherent risks. Johnson is a WR4.
At tight end, Cade Otton has been more involved recently, helping to pick up the slack with Evans and Godwin out.
But even in a game that could create a lot of passing volume, it's tough to get excited about Otton. He's a high-end TE2 as a bet on route volume.
Bucky Irving looks iffy for this game, setting up Rachaad White for another start. However, White saw a significant role reduction against the Saints, splitting carries almost evenly with Sean Tucker.
Against the Patriots, the Bucs are unlikely to be leaning on a downhill rushing attack the way they did against the Saints, tilting things back in White's favor to some degree. Still, White's profile is very much volume-dependent, and that volume isn't as locked in as it looked before Week 8. White is a low-end RB2.
Giants at Bears, 1 PM
Giants
Implied Team Total: 21
I understand why the Giants are very likely to move on from Brian Daboll after the season. And, maybe that really is in the best interest of the franchise. But purely from the perspective of Jaxson Dart's development... if it ain't broke, don't fix it?
Among QBs with 100+ dropbacks, Dart now ranks QB15 in EPA per game and QB15 in success rate. He's profiling as a very solid starter, someone whose development looks like it's on the right track.
Last week, Dart turned in much more consistent play than he did against the Broncos or Eagles, benefitting from a soft matchup against the depleted 49ers defense.
This week, Dart gets another soft matchup against a Bears defense that has struggled badly to generate pressure this year, ranking dead last in quick pressure rate. That's a big deal for Dart, who is inviting defensive pressure with a long time to throw. Chicago's weak pass rush should allow him to attack downfield and over the deep middle of the field, which he's been eager to do.
The Bears don't just lack a pass rush; they're a bad overall pass defense. This is even more true than the season-long numbers suggest, with outside corner Jaylon Johnson and nickel Kyler Gordon both recently placed on injured reserve. Nahshon Wright (outside) and Nick McCloud (nickel) have both been liabilities in coverage. Among 122 CBs with 100+ defensive snaps, Wright ranks 95th in yards allowed per coverage snap; McCloud is 102nd. The Bears do at least have starting outside CB Tyrique Stevenson healthy... except he ranks even worse, at 120th. The Bears' CBs are a major vulnerability.
Even without starting C John Michael Schmitz—who hasn't practiced this week with a shin injury—the Giants should be able to hold up against a Bears pass rush that ranks dead last in quick pressure rate.
The Bears' run defense is also weak. If you want to run the ball on the Bears, they're going to have trouble changing your mind.
However, if you want to pass the ball, the Bears are also not going to discourage you. We've seen three opponents post pass rates between 43% and 52% against the Bears—truly run-heavy rates. We've seen three opponents post pass rates between 69% and 79%—truly pass-heavy rates. Only the Commanders operated in the middle.
At first glance, as 4.5-point road underdogs, the Giants are more likely to end up as the fourth pass-heavy Bears opponent than the fifth run-heavy one.
However, the Giants aren't really profiling as a pass-first team this year. They've had a negative PROE in five of Dart's six starts.
The Giants aren't fully fighting against game script. They just don't look like they want to fully embrace pass-heavy environments, which is understandable with a rookie under center.
As I'll cover on the other side of this game, the Bears are very likely to lean on the run here. As a result, the Giants may have the option to lean on the run even if this ends up being a back-and-forth game. At the very least, they have a good chance of staying balanced.
From a fantasy perspective, then, we'd really like to see the Bears push the Giants into a negative game script. With Cam Skattebo out last week, the Giants' backfield was surprisingly split, with the biggest surprise being that the split favored Devin Singletary.
Tracy was still involved and remains the primary receiving threat out of the backfield. But the Giants' backfield went from supporting a high-volume starter in Cam Skattebo to an unappealing Singletary/Tracy committee.
Singletary ran well last week, turning in 43 yards and 10 RYOE on eight carries. Tracy managed just 18 yards and -3 RYOE on five carries. So, there's no reason to expect a big shift in usage this week. And frankly, I should have been more open to this kind of split in the first place, given how poorly Tracy has played this year.
Tracy profiles as a PPR RB3 here with Singletary as an RB4. Singletary may lead the backfield in snaps again, but he really needs to score a TD to pay off. Tracy may be able to PPR scam his way to value if the Giants trail.
At wide receiver, things are at least a bit more predictable. Even if the Giants don't fully lean into a plus passing matchup, Wan'Dale Robinson is set up nicely.
Robinson's first-read target rate isn't ideal, highlighting some variance in his profile. But Robinson tied his highest first-read target rate of the season against the 49ers, and was back in a shallower aDOT role, while still running a route on every dropback.
Robinson's profile isn't especially exciting, but we can count on him to be out on the field, and he has more upside than usual in this matchup. He's a low-end WR2.
Daris Slayton is coming off his highest route participation since Week 2, which makes his boom/bust profile a little more tolerable. He's a WR5.
Ray-Ray McCloud made his Giants debut last week, surprisingly posting 92% route participation against the 49ers. He hasn't shown an ability to actually earn targets, though.
At tight end, Theo Johnson saw his route participation drop a bit with Daniel Bellinger out, and still struggled to produce anything on reasonably strong opportunity.
Johnson remains a safe bet for routes, keeping him in the TE2 mix in a strong matchup.
Bears
Implied Team Total: 25.5
Caleb Williams is coming off his second-most-efficient game of the year, taking advantage of an extremely weak Bengals pass defense. It would have been more fun if Rome Odunze was along for the ride, but Williams paid off in a big way last week.
It's the same old story with Williams—give him time to throw and he'll make plays downfield. Last week, Williams posted a truly absurd 4.01-second time to throw. He was holding the ball for an eternity.
Williams was awesome on dropbacks of 2.6 seconds or longer last week, attempting 24 passes for 154 passing yards. He did take two sacks, but he also scrambled five times for 53 yards. On these 31 dropbacks, he picked up 11 1st downs.
In other words, last week rewarded Williams for playing his game. Caleb Williams hit his peak by being Caleb Williams.
I'm pretty convinced that Ben Johnson isn't entirely on board with the Caleb Williams experience. He's fully on board with Williams as his 2025 starter; that's not what I mean. But I don't think that Johnson views Williams running around and ripping it downfield as his ideal plan of attack in a given week. And Williams has not shown a ton of growth as an in-rhythm offensive point guard. Instead, he's been a rollercoaster, delivering decent efficiency as QB21 in EPA per game but with a weak 43% success rate (QB31).
The Giants' pass rush isn't especially impressive by the numbers. But the Giants can pressure without blitzing, and they have star power. At EDGE, Abdul Carter ranks 15th in pass rush win rate, and Brian Burns ranks 18th. At DT, Dexter Lawrence ranks third in pass rush grade. This is a pass rush that could give Caleb Williams trouble... especially since he's likely to give them plenty of time to get home.
Even with Williams turning in an excellent performance against the Bengals, the Bears posted just a 58% pass rate and a -1% PROE. The Bears haven't had a positive PROE since Week 1.
Meanwhile, the Giants are shaping up as a run funnel, with the Eagles and 49ers successfully pounding the rock against them in back-to-back weeks.
It makes sense to target the Giants' run defense—it's literally the worst in the NFL.
I refuse to apologize to Caleb Williams... but I do owe one to Kyle Monangai. I was skeptical that he could efficiently deliver on last week's opportunity. But he did just that, posting a week-leading 179 rushing yards with 59 RYOE. He's now profiling as a perfectly cromulent runner.
The Bears also trusted Monangai as a true workhorse starter.
However, Swift looks set to return for this game. But even if he returns to his normal role... we're barely talking about a starter-level workload.
Swift hasn't been bad this year; he's been surprisingly consistent, actually. He's also a factor in the passing game.
There's a lot of uncertainty here, but I'm basically thinking of Swift as a version of Kenneth Walker with more receiving ability. And I'm thinking of Kyle Monangai as a version of Zach Charbonnet with more rushing pop. Both profile as high-end RB3s.
With Williams going off last week, Rome Odunze was shockingly unproductive, failing to secure either of his two targets against the Bengals.
DJ Moore was much more productive, adding a passing TD to solid receiving production.
Olamide Zaccheaus also turned in his strongest efficiency of the season.
For the season, Odunze still has the strongest profile on the team, but he's not profiling as the obvious No. 1 that he was earlier in this year. Interestingly, Zaccheaus is earning targets at the highest rate per route, and that's supported by the highest first-read target rate of the three.
Luther Burden's return further complicates this picture. Burden was running about a third of the routes before suffering a concussion against the Ravens, and was siphoning off enough targets to have an impact. He's been practicing in full this week and looks set to return.
The Bears are likely to lean on the run here, putting dropback volume into question. And so, it's hard to get excited about their WR corps. Odunze shapes up as a low-end WR2 with Moore as a WR3 and Zaccheaus as a dart throw.
At tight end, Cole Kmet logged a full practice on Thursday and looks set to return. However, even when healthy in Week 6, he played clearly behind Loveland. The question now is whether Loveland has done enough to earn 75%+ route participation with Kmet fully available. Actually, that's not the question; Loveland clearly has met that threshold. The question is whether Ben Johnson will recognize that.
With a 10 aDOT, Loveland has been a downfield threat for the Bears, which makes him a bit more interesting in this matchup—it's not like he needs to rack up target volume to make an impact. Even with his route participation being a minor question mark, Loveland is a high-end TE2.
